Of course, Snow was a ruthless villain and could have been lying to further harm Katniss' psyche, but both parties agreed not to lie to each other in the past, and Snow would have had little reason to break that promise after his defeat. Likewise, the bombs were dropped on a crowd of Capitol children, so it seems unlikely President Snow would needlessly kill children of his own people even he admitted to Katniss that, though he was not above killing children, he didn't take life wastefully.
While Katniss wanted to believe it was the Capitol's hand at work, given the fact the hovercraft used to drop the bombs had the Capitol's insignia on it, the nature of the bomb was so exact to the one Gale designed, it's nearly impossible to rationalize it not being his handiwork. Since the possibility of Gale being responsible for Prim's death was discovered, fans have been divided on if he was truly at fault for Prim's fate. Incidentally, it's this exact type of bomb that took Prim's life.
#PRIM EVERDEEN SERIES#
Before the Capitol battle, Gale had explained to Katniss his series of bombs designed to feed off human compassion: a small bomb would go off, and then when medical aid rushed in, a second bomb would go off, killing those people as well. The root of Katniss' unraveling was the knowledge of how evil and ruthless humanity could be, and seeing that depravity extend to herself and her loved ones drove wedges in nearly all of her relationships.
Mockingjay centered heavily around Katniss' mental state as she tried to figure out who she could and could not trust within her inner circle, compounded by the fact that the Capitol had brainwashed Peeta to want to kill her.
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